League Two play-off winner: Supercomputer predicts whether Chesterfield, Grimsby Town, Notts County or Salford City will earn League One promotion
There is one place left in League One to claim ahead of the 2026/27 season.
Mansfield Town will soon find out who their seventh and final new League One opponent will be for next season. Four League Two clubs are due to battle it out for their ticket to the third tier but only one will be successful as the EFL play-offs await.
Bromley, MK Dons and Cambridge United have already secured their spots through automatic promotion, while Sheffield Wednesday, Leicester City and Oxford United have all been relegated from the Championship.
The final vacant place in League One will be filled by either Chesterfield, Grimsby Town, Notts County or Salford City. Play-off semi-final first legs will begin this weekend.
There is plenty of speculation over who will make the last jump up from League Two in the coming weeks. FindSisterSites has projected the results of each play-off, using its latest Supercomputer findings.
Who will win the EFL play-offs?
The Supercomputer has predicted the winners of each EFL play-off, starting with Middlesbrough’s return to the Premier League.
Out of those competing for a place in the Championship, Bolton Wanderers have been projected to get the job done, and they will be replaced by successful League Two side Notts County.
The Magpies have been given a 28 percent chance of winning the play-offs, behind arguable favourites Salford City at 34 percent. However, County’s ‘high-volume attacking output’ has given them the edge in the race. Here’s how the route to League One promotion has been predicted to unfold, including the Supercomputer’s analysis of each result.
Semi-Final 1: Grimsby Town vs Salford City (Salford win 3-2 on aggregate)
Leg 1: Grimsby Town 1–1 Salford City
Leg 2: Salford City 2–1 Grimsby Town
Analysis: Salford’s home form (14 wins in 23 matches) proves pivotal. While Grimsby brings high intensity, the Supercomputer identifies Salford’s disciplined backline as the decisive factor in controlling the second leg.
Semi-Final 2: Chesterfield vs Notts County (Notts County win 5-4 on aggregate)
Leg 1: Chesterfield 2–2 Notts County
Leg 2: Notts County 3–2 Chesterfield
Analysis: This is projected as the highest-scoring semi-final. Notts County’s superior attacking output throughout the season (74 goals scored) edges out a resilient Chesterfield side in an end-to-end spectacle at Meadow Lane.
Play-off Final: Salford City vs Notts County
Notts County have been predicted to win the play-off final 2-1 after extra time, taking them up to League One for the first time since 2015.
Analysis: The final is projected to be a tactical stalemate that deepens into extra time. The simulation favours Notts County's squad depth, which has shown greater efficacy in ‘clutch’ moments during the latter half of the 2026 season. Notts County secures promotion to League One in a narrow 120-minute victory.