Nottinghamshire County Council projected to spend extra £31 million on adult social care

Nottinghamshire County Council’s Cabinet met on November 7, to discuss the state of the authority’s finances.

Councils across the country have had to assess their internal budgets against the new national living wage and employer contributions introduced by the government.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves confirmed the wage will rise to £12.21 per hour from April 2025.

Increased wages and National Insurance will put extra financial pressure on councils through paying their own staff and the costs external contractors will charge councils to offset their own spending on increased wages.

The changes are expected to cost the county council around £31 million in the adult social care sector alone in the April 2025 to March 2026 financial year.

This will come from the council’s external providers as a consequence of the Chancellor’s budget.

Between £10 million and £16 million of this is estimated to come from the effect of National Insurance changes alone.

This is in addition to the anticipated additional cost of £4.5 million the council will face as an employer of its own staff from National Insurance changes.

The council estimates the amount of extra funding from the government will fall below what is needed to maintain current service levels.

Speaking on the increases in the meeting, Coun Neil Clarke (Con) said: “If that has an impact on jobs and economic growth- which it’s likely to do- it could well be then there’s extra pressure on benefits, health and wellbeing, employees that may end up losing their jobs with the number of employees having to reduce.

“It doesn’t assist with the mental stress and health and wellbeing of our residents.”

The council’s revised funding shortfall over the next three years is expected to be £64 million and the current in-year funding shortfall is forecast at £4.4 million.

Current leader of the county council, Ben Bradley (Con) said during the meeting: “We had a gap - we now have a bigger gap - ours is far more manageable than most.

“The number that has been set aside to allegedly cover employer National Insurance in public sector doesn’t look anything like a big enough number to actually cover the impact of employer National Insurance.”

A spokesperson for the council said: “The Cabinet Member for Finance and Resources, Coun Richard Jackson, announced that the latest unpublished forecast would already show this gap reducing to £2m and that he has confidence that this predicted overspend will reduce further as we progress through the rest of the year.”

The council will work on their Medium Term Financial Strategy to find ways it can generate additional income to offset budget gaps until 2029.

The cabinet did not confirm any increase in council tax, but an increase could help bridge funding gaps.

Speaking to the Local Democracy Reporting Service, Richard Jackson, cabinet member for finance, said: “We recognise the cost of living issues that everyone’s dealing with - whether its council tax increasing or a charge for services, all of those increases we will keep to absolute minimum.”

A formal settlement figure from the government will be given to local authorities in December - councils will then work towards finalising official budgets by next February.